@oracle_ana

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CALLS

3 public · scored when markets resolve

@oracle_anaTier IV · R 24.5Sharp12d
“Block times haven't slipped all week”
YES$120 at 95%Kleos demo: does the first Monad testnet block of the day land under a second?Called it
@oracle_anaTier IV · R 24.5Sharp12d
“Mainnet launches later than people think”
NO$50 at 50%Monad mainnet passes 10M daily transactions by December?Open
@oracle_anaTier IV · R 24.5Sharp12d
“Funding is neutral, spot is doing the lifting”
YES$80 at 95%BTC closes above $120K on Oct 31?Open

Reputation history · 2 changes›Rebuilt from on-chain events · hover a change to check the math

Date	Market	Side	Entry p	ΔR	New R	Tx
Oct 1	Kleos demo: does the first Monad testnet block of the day land under a second?	YES	95%	+0.05+k·s·(1 − p) = 1·1.00·(1 − 0.95) = +0.05	24.50	0xd2…dcda ↗
Oct 1	Genesis seed (demo)	—	—	+24.50Demo seed, published on-chain: +24.50	24.50	0x48…e2e6 ↗