@kleos_maxi

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4 public · scored when markets resolve

@kleos_maxiTier V · R 41.2Sharp12d
“Monad's 400ms blocks make this easy”
YES$150 at 50%Kleos demo: does the first Monad testnet block of the day land under a second?Called it
@kleos_maxiTier V · R 41.2Sharp12d
“The gap to #1 closed to 8 points this month”
YES$50 at 50%An open-weights model tops the main leaderboard by November?Open
@kleos_maxiTier V · R 41.2Sharp12d
“No catalyst before year end”
NO$60 at 50%ETH above $5K before year end?Open
@kleos_maxiTier V · R 41.2Sharp12d
“ETF inflows haven't slowed in six weeks”
YES$80 at 50%BTC closes above $120K on Oct 31?Open

Reputation history · 3 changes›Rebuilt from on-chain events · hover a change to check the math

Date	Market	Side	Entry p	ΔR	New R	Tx
Oct 1	Kleos demo: does the first Monad testnet block of the day land under a second?	YES	50%	+0.50+k·s·(1 − p) = 1·1.00·(1 − 0.50) = +0.50	41.20	0xd2…dcda ↗
Oct 1	Genesis seed (demo)	—	—	0.00Demo seed, published on-chain: +0.00	41.20	0x17…2d33 ↗
Oct 1	Genesis seed (demo)	—	—	+41.20Demo seed, published on-chain: +41.20	41.20	0xda…34ea ↗